TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Rubtsova and Anastasiya Kuparev in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Rubtsova' if Varvara Rubtsova advances against Anastasiya Kuparev. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Kuparev' if Anastasiya Kuparev advances against Varvara Rubtsova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Rubtsova and Anastasiya Kuparev in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Rubtsova' if Varvara Rubtsova advances against Anastasiya Kuparev. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Kuparev' if Anastasiya Kuparev advances against Varvara Rubtsova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants contributing to the prediction. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the collective prediction of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rubtsova vs Kuparev match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and validated, based on their holdings in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Varvara Rubtsova or Anastasiya Kuparev could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive changes in the price of shares, reflecting evolving expectations about the match outcome.