TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ru Xi Wu and Varvara Rubtsova in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ru Xi Wu' if Ru Xi Wu advances against Varvara Rubtsova. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Rubtsova' if Varvara Rubtsova advances against Ru Xi Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ru Xi Wu and Varvara Rubtsova in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ru Xi Wu' if Ru Xi Wu advances against Varvara Rubtsova. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Rubtsova' if Varvara Rubtsova advances against Ru Xi Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the players' chances. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ru Xi Wu vs Varvara Rubtsova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. Conversely, if traders become less confident, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ru Xi Wu vs Varvara Rubtsova match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, might also play a role. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in the collective assessment of the Ru Xi Wu vs Varvara Rubtsova match’s likely outcome.