TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Laskutova and Wozuko Mdlulwa in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Laskutova' if Ksenia Laskutova advances against Wozuko Mdlulwa. This market will resolve to 'Wozuko Mdlulwa' if Wozuko Mdlulwa advances against Ksenia Laskutova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Laskutova and Wozuko Mdlulwa in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Laskutova' if Ksenia Laskutova advances against Wozuko Mdlulwa. This market will resolve to 'Wozuko Mdlulwa' if Wozuko Mdlulwa advances against Ksenia Laskutova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional considerations. This market, driven by individual traders’ assessments, can incorporate a broader range of information and react more quickly to new developments. If there’s a significant discrepancy between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and responsive to changing conditions. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ksenia Laskutova vs Wozuko Mdlulwa match as reported by the governing tennis body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the standard procedures of that organization. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the finalized outcome of the match. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions affecting the match could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Significant media coverage or public endorsements could also impact the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market price, reflecting the collective assessment of traders on Polymarket.