TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Simkina and Sevil Yuldasheva in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Simkina' if Anna Simkina advances against Sevil Yuldasheva. This market will resolve to 'Sevil Yuldasheva' if Sevil Yuldasheva advances against Anna Simkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Simkina and Sevil Yuldasheva in the W15 Islamabad, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Simkina' if Anna Simkina advances against Sevil Yuldasheva. This market will resolve to 'Sevil Yuldasheva' if Sevil Yuldasheva advances against Anna Simkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant disparity exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that market participants have identified information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing analyses and risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Simkina vs Yuldasheva match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Simkina vs Yuldasheva match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in form, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility, impacting the probabilities reflected in this market.