TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Biolay and Noelia Manta in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Biolay' if Sophia Biolay advances against Noelia Manta. This market will resolve to 'Noelia Manta' if Noelia Manta advances against Sophia Biolay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Biolay and Noelia Manta in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Biolay' if Sophia Biolay advances against Noelia Manta. This market will resolve to 'Noelia Manta' if Noelia Manta advances against Sophia Biolay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's pricing is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations surrounding the Sophia Biolay vs Noelia Manta match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sophia Biolay vs Noelia Manta match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Sophia Biolay or Noelia Manta, such as a withdrawal from the match, would have a significant impact. Even broader factors like weather forecasts for the match location or public betting trends could contribute to price movements in this market.