TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milena Maria Ciocan and Michelle Khomich in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Michelle Khomich. This market will resolve to 'Michelle Khomich' if Michelle Khomich advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milena Maria Ciocan and Michelle Khomich in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Michelle Khomich. This market will resolve to 'Michelle Khomich' if Michelle Khomich advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's significant public interest and diverse participation. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable data point for comparison.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Milena Maria Ciocan versus Michelle Khomich tennis match in Essen. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the match, as determined by these sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. For example, reports of Milena Maria Ciocan or Michelle Khomich experiencing a health issue or a recent strong performance in another tournament would likely shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions in Essen on the day of the match could also be a catalyst, as could any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning.