TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michelle Khomich and Jade Bornay in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michelle Khomich' if Michelle Khomich advances against Jade Bornay. This market will resolve to 'Jade Bornay' if Jade Bornay advances against Michelle Khomich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michelle Khomich and Jade Bornay in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michelle Khomich' if Michelle Khomich advances against Jade Bornay. This market will resolve to 'Jade Bornay' if Jade Bornay advances against Michelle Khomich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Khomich vs Bornay match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the W15 Essen tournament. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also lead to price movements. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment.