TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lara Wasserfuhr and Milena Maria Ciocan in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lara Wasserfuhr' if Lara Wasserfuhr advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Lara Wasserfuhr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lara Wasserfuhr and Milena Maria Ciocan in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lara Wasserfuhr' if Lara Wasserfuhr advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Lara Wasserfuhr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Essen tennis match between Lara Wasserfuhr and Milena Maria Ciocan. The winning player, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results for either Lara Wasserfuhr or Milena Maria Ciocan, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, or even early performance during the match itself, could cause substantial movement in this market before it resolves.