TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emily Victoria Eigelsbach and Noemi Maines in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emily Victoria Eigelsbach' if Emily Victoria Eigelsbach advances against Noemi Maines. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Emily Victoria Eigelsbach. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emily Victoria Eigelsbach and Noemi Maines in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emily Victoria Eigelsbach' if Emily Victoria Eigelsbach advances against Noemi Maines. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Emily Victoria Eigelsbach. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique information, or biases within each system. Observing these differences can be insightful, as they may highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, reflecting their collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Essen match between Emily Victoria Eigelsbach and Noemi Maines. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Emily Victoria Eigelsbach or Noemi Maines could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public perception regarding their capabilities, might also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related tournaments or changes in weather conditions could introduce new information and lead to adjustments in the market price.