TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ellie Daniels and Pia Praefke in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ellie Daniels' if Ellie Daniels advances against Pia Praefke. This market will resolve to 'Pia Praefke' if Pia Praefke advances against Ellie Daniels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ellie Daniels and Pia Praefke in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ellie Daniels' if Ellie Daniels advances against Pia Praefke. This market will resolve to 'Pia Praefke' if Pia Praefke advances against Ellie Daniels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of its likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the collective forecast for the Daniels vs Praefke match. This creates a transparent and efficient way to aggregate information and determine the market's prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Essen match between Ellie Daniels and Pia Praefke, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this competition.
Several factors could influence the market for the Daniels vs Praefke match. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or analysis of their head-to-head record, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert opinions, might also play a role, though the market's collective intelligence often proves more accurate than individual forecasts. Major upsets or surprising performances in related events could also contribute to price movements in this market.