TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Annemarie Lazar and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annemarie Lazar' if Annemarie Lazar advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Annemarie Lazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Annemarie Lazar and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W15 Essen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annemarie Lazar' if Annemarie Lazar advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Annemarie Lazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If prediction market participants collectively believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the price of this market closer to their assessment of the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or debate surrounding the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s accuracy, and the current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Annemarie Lazar versus Oriana Gniewkowska match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts, as well as any shifts in betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks, might also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that could affect the match could also contribute to price movement in this market.