TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melina Maria Maruca and Fernanda Rain in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melina Maria Maruca' if Melina Maria Maruca advances against Fernanda Rain. This market will resolve to 'Fernanda Rain' if Fernanda Rain advances against Melina Maria Maruca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melina Maria Maruca and Fernanda Rain in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melina Maria Maruca' if Melina Maria Maruca advances against Fernanda Rain. This market will resolve to 'Fernanda Rain' if Fernanda Rain advances against Melina Maria Maruca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cipolletti tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cipolletti tennis match—which player wins—will be used to determine the winning share in this market. The platform will verify the official results from a trusted source to ensure an accurate and fair resolution. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled, as the outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor court), or even updated player rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match, or even a perceived psychological advantage, could lead to increased trading volume and a change in the implied probabilities within this market.