TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bulbarella and Abril Pajello in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bulbarella' if Marina Bulbarella advances against Abril Pajello. This market will resolve to 'Abril Pajello' if Abril Pajello advances against Marina Bulbarella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bulbarella and Abril Pajello in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bulbarella' if Marina Bulbarella advances against Abril Pajello. This market will resolve to 'Abril Pajello' if Abril Pajello advances against Marina Bulbarella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cipolletti tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The current price represents the market’s aggregate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Marina Bulbarella vs Abril Pajello match in the W15 Cipolletti tournament. The platform will verify the winner using publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as recorded by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially impacting player performance. Furthermore, changes in public perception or expert analysis of the players’ chances could drive trading volume and price movements. Even seemingly minor developments, like social media commentary or betting trends, could contribute to shifts in this market’s probabilities.