TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Moyano' if Luciana Moyano advances against Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi. This market will resolve to 'Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi' if Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi advances against Luciana Moyano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Moyano' if Luciana Moyano advances against Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi. This market will resolve to 'Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi' if Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi advances against Luciana Moyano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Cipolletti tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.