TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florencia Belen Moron and Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florencia Belen Moron' if Florencia Belen Moron advances against Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele. This market will resolve to 'Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele' if Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele advances against Florencia Belen Moron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florencia Belen Moron and Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florencia Belen Moron' if Florencia Belen Moron advances against Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele. This market will resolve to 'Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele' if Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele advances against Florencia Belen Moron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each player winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Cipolletti tennis match between Florencia Belen Moron and Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the final payout for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes trigger significant price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring tennis news and following activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts.