TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Celina Sosa and Sofia Meabe in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Celina Sosa' if Carola Celina Sosa advances against Sofia Meabe. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Meabe' if Sofia Meabe advances against Carola Celina Sosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Celina Sosa and Sofia Meabe in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Celina Sosa' if Carola Celina Sosa advances against Sofia Meabe. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Meabe' if Sofia Meabe advances against Carola Celina Sosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Any discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds may signal opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Cipolletti match between Carola Celina Sosa and Sofia Meabe. This means the outcome will be determined by the official score or result declared by the governing tennis body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact expectations. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or even weather forecasts for the event location could play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.