TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Camila Markus in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amparo Corvalan Mitilli' if Amparo Corvalan Mitilli advances against Camila Markus. This market will resolve to 'Camila Markus' if Camila Markus advances against Amparo Corvalan Mitilli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Camila Markus in the W15 Cipolletti, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amparo Corvalan Mitilli' if Amparo Corvalan Mitilli advances against Camila Markus. This market will resolve to 'Camila Markus' if Camila Markus advances against Amparo Corvalan Mitilli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cipolletti tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Camila Markus. The winner of the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the outcome used to settle this market. Traders who hold shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, if one player is reported to be unwell or has a history of struggling on a particular surface, their share price is likely to decrease. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any pre-match interviews could also contribute to shifts in this market.