TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Bednarz and Yelizaveta Trush in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Yelizaveta Trush. This market will resolve to 'Yelizaveta Trush' if Yelizaveta Trush advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Bednarz and Yelizaveta Trush in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Yelizaveta Trush. This market will resolve to 'Yelizaveta Trush' if Yelizaveta Trush advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome of the Bednarz vs Trush match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Bednarz vs Trush match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this competition.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Bednarz or Trush could also influence perceptions of their form and ability. Any significant updates related to their preparation or physical condition are likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price movements of this market, as traders react to new information.