TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Veronica Cervac and Thea Marcu in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Veronica Cervac' if Veronica Cervac advances against Thea Marcu. This market will resolve to 'Thea Marcu' if Thea Marcu advances against Veronica Cervac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Veronica Cervac and Thea Marcu in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Veronica Cervac' if Veronica Cervac advances against Thea Marcu. This market will resolve to 'Thea Marcu' if Thea Marcu advances against Veronica Cervac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau tennis match between Veronica Cervac and Thea Marcu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. The outcome of this market will reflect the official result of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injury reports, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either player could also lead to adjustments in the market. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts for Chisinau, could play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Veronica Cervac or Thea Marcu winning the match has the potential to move this market significantly.