TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Nala Kovacic in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Nala Kovacic. This market will resolve to 'Nala Kovacic' if Nala Kovacic advances against Sophie Luescher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Nala Kovacic in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Nala Kovacic. This market will resolve to 'Nala Kovacic' if Nala Kovacic advances against Sophie Luescher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the odds can highlight areas where the crowd believes there's value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a particular possibility.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Sophie Luescher and Nala Kovacic, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Sophie Luescher or Nala Kovacic, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant weather forecasts impacting the tournament schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could quickly move the market, reflecting new insights or strategic positions.