TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Ksandinov and Iana Semichina in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Ksandinov' if Sophia Ksandinov advances against Iana Semichina. This market will resolve to 'Iana Semichina' if Iana Semichina advances against Sophia Ksandinov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Ksandinov and Iana Semichina in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Ksandinov' if Sophia Ksandinov advances against Iana Semichina. This market will resolve to 'Iana Semichina' if Iana Semichina advances against Sophia Ksandinov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice-versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders involved in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Sophia Ksandinov and Iana Semichina. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact predictions. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant social media discussion, could also contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs about the likely outcome of the Ksandinov vs Semichina match.