TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez and Yeva Galiievska in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez' if Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez advances against Yeva Galiievska. This market will resolve to 'Yeva Galiievska' if Yeva Galiievska advances against Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez and Yeva Galiievska in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez' if Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez advances against Yeva Galiievska. This market will resolve to 'Yeva Galiievska' if Yeva Galiievska advances against Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous process where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau tennis match between Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez and Yeva Galiievska. The winner of the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the outcome reflected in the market's resolution. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, once it has been verified and reported.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side – could quickly move the odds. Even general tennis news or analysis that favors one player over the other could contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.