TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Maslenkova and Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Maslenkova' if Milana Maslenkova advances against Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa' if Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa advances against Milana Maslenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Maslenkova and Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Maslenkova' if Milana Maslenkova advances against Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa' if Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa advances against Milana Maslenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more quickly to new developments than sportsbooks, particularly for events with less public attention.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maslenkova vs Sanduleasa match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Milana Maslenkova and Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.