TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Mikhailova and Melissa Boyden in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Mikhailova' if Maria Mikhailova advances against Melissa Boyden. This market will resolve to 'Melissa Boyden' if Melissa Boyden advances against Maria Mikhailova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Mikhailova and Melissa Boyden in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Mikhailova' if Maria Mikhailova advances against Melissa Boyden. This market will resolve to 'Melissa Boyden' if Melissa Boyden advances against Maria Mikhailova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one player will win, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective than what’s available at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by the collective actions of traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mikhailova vs Boyden match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 14, 2026.