TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Madalina Ulianovschi and Nala Kovacic in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madalina Ulianovschi' if Madalina Ulianovschi advances against Nala Kovacic. This market will resolve to 'Nala Kovacic' if Nala Kovacic advances against Madalina Ulianovschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Madalina Ulianovschi and Nala Kovacic in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madalina Ulianovschi' if Madalina Ulianovschi advances against Nala Kovacic. This market will resolve to 'Nala Kovacic' if Nala Kovacic advances against Madalina Ulianovschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning the product of the liquidity for each outcome remains constant, influencing price movements with each trade. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Madalina Ulianovschi and Nala Kovacic. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event and any potential delays that might affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact predictions. General tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion expressed through polls or expert commentary, could also contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume closer to the Oct 11, 2026 is also typical, as traders refine their predictions based on the latest available information. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in the market.