TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luisa Schruff and Daria Maria Marioara in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Daria Maria Marioara. This market will resolve to 'Daria Maria Marioara' if Daria Maria Marioara advances against Luisa Schruff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luisa Schruff and Daria Maria Marioara in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Daria Maria Marioara. This market will resolve to 'Daria Maria Marioara' if Daria Maria Marioara advances against Luisa Schruff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous process where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Schruff vs Marioara match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Luisa Schruff and Daria Maria Marioara. Any official result announced by the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader developments within the W15 Chisinau tournament, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in sentiment or strategic positioning within this market.