TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luisa Schruff and Alina Nesmianovych in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Luisa Schruff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luisa Schruff and Alina Nesmianovych in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Luisa Schruff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will happen, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated views of all participants trading in this market. The current volume is $602.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Luisa Schruff and Alina Nesmianovych. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity on sportsbooks or shifts in public opinion could influence trading behavior on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals and events can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.