TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Zaicenco and Onalee Wagner in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina Zaicenco' if Irina Zaicenco advances against Onalee Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Onalee Wagner' if Onalee Wagner advances against Irina Zaicenco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Zaicenco and Onalee Wagner in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina Zaicenco' if Irina Zaicenco advances against Onalee Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Onalee Wagner' if Onalee Wagner advances against Irina Zaicenco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Irina Zaicenco vs Onalee Wagner match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Irina Zaicenco vs Onalee Wagner match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators, updated rankings, or even social media discussions can also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing the odds to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of this market.