TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Iurina and Alina Nesmianovych in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Iurina' if Eva Iurina advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Eva Iurina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Iurina and Alina Nesmianovych in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Iurina' if Eva Iurina advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Eva Iurina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, particularly if there's significant public disagreement or new information emerges regarding the players' form and potential strategies for the Iurina vs Nesmianovych match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increasing confidence among traders. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Iurina vs Nesmianovych match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iurina vs Nesmianovych match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could trigger a response from traders. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook regarding the Iurina vs Nesmianovych match, potentially leading to price fluctuations.