TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Agureeva and Sophie Williams in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Agureeva' if Ekaterina Agureeva advances against Sophie Williams. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Williams' if Sophie Williams advances against Ekaterina Agureeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Agureeva and Sophie Williams in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Agureeva' if Ekaterina Agureeva advances against Sophie Williams. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Williams' if Sophie Williams advances against Ekaterina Agureeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Agureeva vs Williams match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. The current price reflects the market's aggregate assessment of the probability of each player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Ekaterina Agureeva and Sophie Williams, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. This ensures a transparent and objective settlement process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also cause shifts in market sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media discussions can contribute to changes in trading volume and price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Agureeva vs Williams match.