TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Agureeva and Onalee Wagner in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Agureeva' if Ekaterina Agureeva advances against Onalee Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Onalee Wagner' if Onalee Wagner advances against Ekaterina Agureeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Agureeva and Onalee Wagner in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Agureeva' if Ekaterina Agureeva advances against Onalee Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Onalee Wagner' if Onalee Wagner advances against Ekaterina Agureeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Agureeva vs Wagner match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of these shares will fluctuate, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Agureeva vs Wagner match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player form, injuries to either Ekaterina Agureeva or Onalee Wagner, or changes in playing conditions could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as schedule changes or venue modifications, might also have an impact. Additionally, any significant analysis from tennis experts or shifts in public opinion could drive trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.