TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Anastasia Safta in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Defne Cirpanli' if Defne Cirpanli advances against Anastasia Safta. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Safta' if Anastasia Safta advances against Defne Cirpanli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Anastasia Safta in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Defne Cirpanli' if Defne Cirpanli advances against Anastasia Safta. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Safta' if Anastasia Safta advances against Defne Cirpanli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cirpanli vs Safta match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution over possible results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a unique view of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Defne Cirpanli and Anastasia Safta. The platform will verify the winner of the match against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning share. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the respective shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either Cirpanli or Safta could also lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, broader trends in women’s tennis or specific insights into the players’ head-to-head record could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements before the Oct 13, 2026 resolution.