TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Corvi and Sophia Ksandinov in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Corvi' if Aurora Corvi advances against Sophia Ksandinov. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Ksandinov' if Sophia Ksandinov advances against Aurora Corvi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Corvi and Sophia Ksandinov in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Corvi' if Aurora Corvi advances against Sophia Ksandinov. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Ksandinov' if Sophia Ksandinov advances against Aurora Corvi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and the current volume traded indicates the level of conviction behind each possible result in the Chisinau tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Aurora Corvi vs Sophia Ksandinov match in the W15 Chisinau tournament. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual outcome, and traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the W15 Chisinau tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts impacting playing surface conditions, could play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Chisinau tennis match has the potential to move the market.