TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Corvi and Natalia Drobca in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Corvi' if Aurora Corvi advances against Natalia Drobca. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Drobca' if Natalia Drobca advances against Aurora Corvi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Corvi and Natalia Drobca in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Corvi' if Aurora Corvi advances against Natalia Drobca. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Drobca' if Natalia Drobca advances against Aurora Corvi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Aurora Corvi vs Natalia Drobca tennis match in Chisinau. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sports news outlets for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also impact expectations. Furthermore, major weather events in Chisinau that might affect the match schedule or playing surface could also cause movement. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also signal a change in perceived probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly.