TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Gamretkaia and Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Gamretkaia' if Arina Gamretkaia advances against Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas. This market will resolve to 'Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas' if Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas advances against Arina Gamretkaia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Gamretkaia and Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Gamretkaia' if Arina Gamretkaia advances against Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas. This market will resolve to 'Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas' if Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas advances against Arina Gamretkaia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Arina Gamretkaia and Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on their shareholding and the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players or shifts in public opinion regarding their chances of winning could also drive movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s dynamics.