TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Lena Ebster and Yeva Galiievska in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Lena Ebster' if Anna Lena Ebster advances against Yeva Galiievska. This market will resolve to 'Yeva Galiievska' if Yeva Galiievska advances against Anna Lena Ebster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Lena Ebster and Yeva Galiievska in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Lena Ebster' if Anna Lena Ebster advances against Yeva Galiievska. This market will resolve to 'Yeva Galiievska' if Yeva Galiievska advances against Anna Lena Ebster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or levels of expertise. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional betting venues, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by the actions of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ebster vs Galiievska match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering opinions on the likely winner could cause price movements. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause a significant shift in probabilities.