TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Lena Ebster and Darja Grigorieva in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Lena Ebster' if Anna Lena Ebster advances against Darja Grigorieva. This market will resolve to 'Darja Grigorieva' if Darja Grigorieva advances against Anna Lena Ebster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Lena Ebster and Darja Grigorieva in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Lena Ebster' if Anna Lena Ebster advances against Darja Grigorieva. This market will resolve to 'Darja Grigorieva' if Darja Grigorieva advances against Anna Lena Ebster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share information, the market price dynamically adjusts, converging towards a consensus view. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the probability of a specific player winning the match, and it's constantly updated based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau tennis match between Anna Lena Ebster and Darja Grigorieva. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match according to the official tournament organizers.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting volume on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting the collective assessment of informed traders regarding the Ebster vs Grigorieva match.