TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliesia Reva and Eva Iurina in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Eva Iurina. This market will resolve to 'Eva Iurina' if Eva Iurina advances against Aliesia Reva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliesia Reva and Eva Iurina in the W15 Chisinau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Eva Iurina. This market will resolve to 'Eva Iurina' if Eva Iurina advances against Aliesia Reva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes in the Reva vs Iurina match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Reva vs Iurina match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform, offering a dynamic and real-time probability estimate.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau tennis match between Aliesia Reva and Eva Iurina. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing a rapid adjustment in the odds for the Reva vs Iurina match.