TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessia Marinescu and Yelizaveta Trush in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessia Marinescu' if Alessia Marinescu advances against Yelizaveta Trush. This market will resolve to 'Yelizaveta Trush' if Yelizaveta Trush advances against Alessia Marinescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessia Marinescu and Yelizaveta Trush in the W15 Chisinau, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessia Marinescu' if Alessia Marinescu advances against Yelizaveta Trush. This market will resolve to 'Yelizaveta Trush' if Yelizaveta Trush advances against Alessia Marinescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among market participants versus sportsbook analysts, or from the influence of public perception and biases. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Chisinau match between Alessia Marinescu and Yelizaveta Trush. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The market will then settle, and share holders will be paid out according to the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed outcome to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also shift expectations. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the event might also play a role, as increased attention could drive more trading volume and price adjustments. Finally, any late-breaking information about the players' strategies or preparation could influence traders' assessments of their chances of winning the match.