TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 3:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luana Plaza and Paola Lopez in the W15 Campina Grande, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luana Plaza' if Luana Plaza advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Luana Plaza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luana Plaza and Paola Lopez in the W15 Campina Grande, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luana Plaza' if Luana Plaza advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Luana Plaza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage or indicate that the crowd holds a different view than professional oddsmakers. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion about the Luana Plaza vs Paola Lopez match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Luana Plaza vs Paola Lopez match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate reflection of the event's true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luana Plaza vs Paola Lopez match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the Luana Plaza or Paola Lopez players could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in perspective. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential catalysts for price movement in this market.