TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jennifer Rosa Dourado and Camila Romero in the W15 Campina Grande, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jennifer Rosa Dourado' if Jennifer Rosa Dourado advances against Camila Romero. This market will resolve to 'Camila Romero' if Camila Romero advances against Jennifer Rosa Dourado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jennifer Rosa Dourado and Camila Romero in the W15 Campina Grande, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jennifer Rosa Dourado' if Jennifer Rosa Dourado advances against Camila Romero. This market will resolve to 'Camila Romero' if Camila Romero advances against Jennifer Rosa Dourado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If there is a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own prediction, as each offers a unique perspective on the event's likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Campina Grande match between Jennifer Rosa Dourado and Camila Romero. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause the price to move, especially if they indicate a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market and potentially identify opportunities.