TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Borodulina and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Borodulina' if Victoria Borodulina advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Victoria Borodulina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Borodulina and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Borodulina' if Victoria Borodulina advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Victoria Borodulina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion about the Borodulina vs Paris match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Borodulina vs Paris match, and the price of these shares reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the odds are constantly updated based on real-time trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Borodulina vs Paris match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could influence traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome of the Borodulina vs Paris match. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even strong public endorsements of one player over the other, could also cause shifts in the market. Monitoring these factors and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding the market’s movements.