TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Borodulina and Masa Jankovic in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Borodulina' if Victoria Borodulina advances against Masa Jankovic. This market will resolve to 'Masa Jankovic' if Masa Jankovic advances against Victoria Borodulina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Borodulina and Masa Jankovic in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Borodulina' if Victoria Borodulina advances against Masa Jankovic. This market will resolve to 'Masa Jankovic' if Masa Jankovic advances against Victoria Borodulina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set their lines to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to take the other side of those bets. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, the prediction market might offer a more nuanced view, especially if there’s disagreement among informed bettors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public attention.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 100; a share priced at 60 represents a 60% implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Borodulina vs Jankovic match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The result will be assessed based on publicly available and verifiable sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, official result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause the market to react and adjust prices accordingly, reflecting the collective assessment of informed traders.