TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanesa Mrazova and Viktoria Varga in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Viktoria Varga. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Varga' if Viktoria Varga advances against Vanesa Mrazova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanesa Mrazova and Viktoria Varga in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Viktoria Varga. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Varga' if Viktoria Varga advances against Vanesa Mrazova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price differences between the two types of markets. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential results of the Mrazova vs Varga match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mrazova vs Varga match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants can sometimes trigger price swings. Monitoring sports news, social media discussions, and the trading activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could shift the market’s direction.