TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanesa Mrazova and Estella Jaeger in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Estella Jaeger. This market will resolve to 'Estella Jaeger' if Estella Jaeger advances against Vanesa Mrazova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanesa Mrazova and Estella Jaeger in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Estella Jaeger. This market will resolve to 'Estella Jaeger' if Estella Jaeger advances against Vanesa Mrazova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or correct mispricings, as traders are constantly updating their beliefs. Comparing the odds can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Bol: Vanesa Mrazova vs Estella Jaeger match. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using publicly available information to determine the definitive winner. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could trigger movement. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence and trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and social media sentiment can provide valuable clues about potential catalysts that might move this market before it resolves.