TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Theresa Stabauer and Lucia Natal in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Lucia Natal. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Natal' if Lucia Natal advances against Theresa Stabauer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Theresa Stabauer and Lucia Natal in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Lucia Natal. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Natal' if Lucia Natal advances against Theresa Stabauer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the result of the Stabauer vs Natal match, and you can observe how this price changes over time based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stabauer vs Natal match as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the expected outcome could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader tennis landscape, such as upsets in related tournaments, might also indirectly influence the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for price movements and inform your trading strategy.