TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Lavinia Guerresco in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Lavinia Guerresco. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Guerresco' if Lavinia Guerresco advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Lavinia Guerresco in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Lavinia Guerresco. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Guerresco' if Lavinia Guerresco advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sramkova vs Guerresco match as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final result and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions on the likely outcome of the Sramkova vs Guerresco match.