TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Masa Jankovic in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Masa Jankovic. This market will resolve to 'Masa Jankovic' if Masa Jankovic advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Masa Jankovic in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Masa Jankovic. This market will resolve to 'Masa Jankovic' if Masa Jankovic advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate factors not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, or vice versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and updates, adjusting their positions and influencing the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhenikhova vs Jankovic match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and alter the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels would likely cause a rapid price adjustment. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to increased volume and price volatility in this market.