TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Mikaca and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Sara Mikaca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Mikaca and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Sara Mikaca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the outcome of the Mikaca vs Paris match, they can express that view through trading activity here. This can lead to odds that are more accurate or simply represent a different perspective on the likely result, compared to what you might find at a sportsbook.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mikaca vs Paris match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a constantly updated forecast of the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Mikaca vs Paris match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome resolves as the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probability of each player winning the Mikaca vs Paris match. Unexpected announcements related to the players’ form or preparation could also cause significant shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants can sometimes trigger follow-on movements as others react to their actions.