TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patricia Jelenic and Lea Sabadi in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Jelenic' if Patricia Jelenic advances against Lea Sabadi. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Patricia Jelenic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patricia Jelenic and Lea Sabadi in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Jelenic' if Patricia Jelenic advances against Lea Sabadi. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Patricia Jelenic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and events related to the Jelenic vs Sabadi match, constantly adjusting the perceived likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jelenic vs Sabadi match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to either Patricia Jelenic or Lea Sabadi would likely cause shifts in the odds. Updates on their recent performance, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions affecting the match could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader shifts in public sentiment towards either player, could all contribute to movement in this market before Oct 25, 2026.